Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cattolica, clay - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Jesper De Jong		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.5	2.35
	1.55	2.72
	1.51	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
61.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 83. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 191.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Ognjen Milic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2

Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide