The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrea Pellegrino 62.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Andrea Pellegrino - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions
Users Predictions:
Andrea Pellegrino will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 124.Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 203.
Pellegrino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Carballes Baena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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