Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro		Magdalena Frech

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.08	Watch
	1.74	2.2
	1.78	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.2)	2.11 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
54.7%

Magdalena Frech
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's performance.

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magdalena Frech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Bouzas Maneiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdalena Frech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Magdalena Frech Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bouzas Maneiro will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Frech will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzas Maneiro: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bouzas Maneiro (votes: 4 - 50%). Frech (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bouzas Maneiro is ranked WTA: 48. Frech is ranked WTA: 57.

Recent form of Bouzas Maneiro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Frech has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Frech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bouzas Maneiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
02.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Storm Hunter - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLL?L
- Magdalena Frech
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Ekaterina Yashina	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Magdalena Frech	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.24	Magdalena Frech - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0
ITF Tournaments
24.11.22	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Magdalena Frech	Frech M. retired

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Magdalena Frech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide