Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Jessica Pegula		Sloane Stephens

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.45	2.75
	1.4	2.8
	1.41	3.18
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.44	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
67.3%

Sloane Stephens
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloane Stephens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Pegula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloane Stephens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.7%	0%	17.3%

Jessica Pegula - Sloane Stephens Predictions

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (43 of 52 users predict this - 82.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.41% – 92.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Stephens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pegula will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Guadalajara 2
20.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
WTA San Diego
15.10.22	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
14.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Coco Vandeweghe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Sloane Stephens
WTA Guadalajara 2
20.10.22	Sloane Stephens - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Belinda Bencic - Sloane Stephens	0:2 ✺
17.10.22	Sloane Stephens - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
WTA San Diego
13.10.22	Sloane Stephens - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Jil Belen Teichmann - Sloane Stephens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
25.03.22	Jessica Pegula - Sloane Stephens	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
08.10.21	Sloane Stephens - Jessica Pegula	0:2

Jessica Pegula - Sloane Stephens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide