Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Jessica Pieri		Carlota Martinez Cirez

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.4
	2.79	1.4
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.24)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pieri
34.2%

Carlota Martinez Cirez
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessica Pieri's form might have worsened.

Carlota Martinez Cirez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlota Martinez Cirez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlota Martinez Cirez than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlota Martinez Cirez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jessica Pieri - Carlota Martinez Cirez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked WTA: 471. Martinez Cirez is ranked WTA: 231.

Recent matches Pieri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Cirez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Cirez will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Martinez Cirez to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pieri won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Pia Lovric - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Jessica Pieri - Justina Mikulskyte	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Despina Papamichail - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Jessica Pieri - Maelys Bougrat	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Sinja Kraus - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL
- Carlota Martinez Cirez
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Daria Kuczer - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Weronika Falkowska - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Giulia Gabba - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Alice Rame - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Jessica Pieri	2:0
14.05.24	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Jessica Pieri	0:2
07.07.22	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Jessica Pieri	2:0

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