Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Trnava 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Jessika Ponchet		Anastasiya Soboleva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.16	4.56	Watch
	1.12	5.71
	1.15	4.60	Watch
	1.17	4.49	Watch
	1.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.3)	4.77 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
80.6%

Anastasiya Soboleva
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessika Ponchet's performance.

Anastasiya Soboleva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anastasiya Soboleva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (+5%)

Jessika Ponchet - Anastasiya Soboleva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 169. Soboleva is ranked WTA: 267.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Soboleva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ponchet is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Lucie Havlickova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Kira Pavlova	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Julie Pastikova	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Jessika Ponchet - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL
- Anastasiya Soboleva
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Alice Robbe	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Sara Lanca - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Milana Zhabrailova - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

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