Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Murska Sobota, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Jessika Ponchet		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.72	Watch
	1.43	2.89
	1.41	2.68	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	2.7 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
65.5%

Gabriela Knutson
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessika Ponchet's performance.

Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriela Knutson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessika Ponchet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriela Knutson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 169. Knutson is ranked WTA: 227.

Ponchet is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Knutson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ponchet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ponchet might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Jessika Ponchet - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Anna Siskova - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alja Senica - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Viktoria Hruncakova - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Gabriela Knutson
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Kristina Novak - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gabriela Knutson - Tatiana Prozorova	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Gabriela Knutson - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Gabriela Knutson - Ayana Akli	Knutson G. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Gabriela Knutson - Tereza Martincova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson	Knutson G. retired
18.03.25	Gabriela Knutson - Jessika Ponchet	0:2

Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide