Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hong Kong 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jia-Jing Lu		Anastasia Grechkina

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.48	2.52
			Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.63)	2.52 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jia-Jing Lu
63.2%

Anastasia Grechkina
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jia-Jing Lu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jia-Jing Lu's performance.

Anastasia Grechkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anastasia Grechkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jia-Jing Lu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Grechkina than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anastasia Grechkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Lu is ranked WTA: 349. Grechkina is ranked WTA: 883.

Lu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grechkina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Fangzhou Liu	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Fangzhou Liu	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Xiaodi You - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Anastasia Grechkina
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Kallista Liu - Anastasia Grechkina	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Xiaodi You - Anastasia Grechkina	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Anastasia Grechkina - Kristiana Sidorova	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Yanan Hou - Anastasia Grechkina	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Anastasia Grechkina - Yidi Yang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Jia-Jing Lu - Anastasia Grechkina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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