Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 NAIROBI (KENYA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	Jia-Jing Lu		Emma Lene

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.6	2.27
	1.61	2.28
	1.57	2.25
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	2.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.54)	2.14 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jia-Jing Lu
55.2%

Emma Lene
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jia-Jing Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jia-Jing Lu's form might have worsened.

Emma Lene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Lene's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jia-Jing Lu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Lene than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emma Lene, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jia Jing Lu - Emma Lene Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Lene will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lene: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Lu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lene is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
13.12.23	Jia-Jing Lu - Angella Okutoyi	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Jia-Jing Lu - Hanna Chang	Lu J. retired ✺
30.11.23	Jia-Jing Lu - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Jasmin Jebawy - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Jia-Jing Lu - Ania Hertel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?WWL
- Emma Lene
ITF Tournaments
13.12.23	Matilde Mariani - Emma Lene	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Emma Lene - Maria Mateas	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Dejana Radanovic - Emma Lene	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Jacqueline Cabaj Awad - Emma Lene	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Francesca Jones - Emma Lene	Lene E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLW?

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