Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sharm ElSheikh, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Jia-Jing Lu		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.16	1.64
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jia-Jing Lu
42.6%

Polina Iatcenko
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jia-Jing Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jia-Jing Lu's form might have worsened.

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Jia Jing Lu - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lu is ranked WTA: 269. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 420.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Elizara Yaneva - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Hikaru Sato - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Zongyu Li	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Zongyu Li	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Wushuang Zheng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Polina Iatcenko - Dayeon Back	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Polina Iatcenko - Mayuka Aikawa	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Amandine Hesse - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Polina Iatcenko - Alisa Kummel	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Antonia Schmidt - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

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