Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARSEILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday


	Jiri Lehecka		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.63
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)	2.55 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
62.7%

David Goffin
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiri Lehecka's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Goffin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Jiri Lehecka - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Goffin will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goffin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lehecka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - Yshai Oliel	Canceled ✺
03.02.24	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Jiri Lehecka	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jiri Lehecka	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.24	Jack Draper - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?WLWW
- David Goffin
ATP Marseille
05.02.24	David Goffin - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	David Goffin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.01.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Zizou Bergs - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Ugo Humbert - David Goffin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.22	Jiri Lehecka - David Goffin	1:3
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	David Goffin - Jiri Lehecka	2:0

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