Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Quinta Do Lago, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Joao Domingues		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
			Watch
	2.48	1.56
	2.25	1.41	Watch
	2.38	1.5
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.53)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Domingues
38.4%

Lucas Poullain
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Domingues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-2%)

Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Domingues is ranked ATP: 770. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Domingues may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poullain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Domingues won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.97%, but this team recently wins 81% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Joao Domingues - Tiago Cacao	Cacao T. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Henry Searle - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Joao Domingues - Pablo Aunion	Aunion P. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Joao Domingues - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?L?LW
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Alexandre Reco - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Xavi Palomar - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Gijs Brouwer - Lucas Poullain	Brouwer G. Retired ✺
19.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.07.24	Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain	2:0
14.11.23	Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain	0:2

Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide