Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Quinta Do Lago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Thomas John Fancutt		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.78
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.45)	1.73 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas John Fancutt
46.3%

Lucas Poullain
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas John Fancutt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thomas John Fancutt's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas John Fancutt than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Thomas John Fancutt - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fancutt is ranked ATP: 1728. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.

Fancutt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Poullain has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Poullain might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas John Fancutt
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Robert Strombachs - Thomas John Fancutt	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Semen Pankin	Fancutt T. J./Rai A. Retired ✺
17.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Michael Bassem Sobhy	Fancutt T. J./Rai A. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LW?W?
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Alexandre Reco - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Xavi Palomar - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Gijs Brouwer - Lucas Poullain	Brouwer G. Retired ✺
19.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Loann Massard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?LW

Thomas John Fancutt - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide