Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maceio, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maceio 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro		Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.56	2.28
	1.59	2.16	Watch
	1.60	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
57.7%

Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Victor Couto Loureiro than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Victor Couto Loureiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Loureiro is ranked ATP: 968., and Santos Gava is ranked ATP: 1657..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Loureiro has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Julian Cundom - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Lucio Ratti - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL
- Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Leonardo Storck Franca - Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava	0:2 ✺
22.10.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Enzo Crevelaro	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Nicolas Bruna	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Tomas Farjat - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	✺

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava