Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville (Canada), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.4	1.51
	2.61	1.53
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.88)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
38.5%

Aidan Mayo
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aidan Mayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Joel Schwaerzler - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mayo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 347. Mayo is ranked ATP: 437.

Schwaerzler is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mayo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mayo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aidan Mayo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
13.11.24	Facundo Mena - Joel Schwaerzler	Schwaerzler J. J. walkover ✺
11.11.24	Nicolas Arseneault - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.24	Phoenix Weir - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Alexander Zverev - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?WLLL
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
13.11.24	Alexis Galarneau - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
11.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Kovacevic A. retired ✺
03.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Cooper Williams	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Aidan Mayo - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Patrick Kypson - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 W?LLL

Joel Schwaerzler - Aidan Mayo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide