Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje (North Macedonia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Cinko A. (Cro)


	Johan Nikles		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.85	Watch
	2.09	1.68
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.89	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)	1.82 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
49.3%

Luka Pavlovic
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Johan Nikles's form might have worsened.

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luka Pavlovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Johan Nikles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Johan Nikles - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nikles is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pavlovic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Pavlovic to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Dan Added - Johan Nikles	Nikles J. walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Evan Furness - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Johan Nikles - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Seita Watanabe - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Shendrit Deari - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Sergej Zivkovic - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Ilya Snitari - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Noah Lopez - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Leonardo Rossi - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Johan Nikles - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide