Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trier, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	John Sperle		Linus Lagerbohm

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.78	1.93
	1.88	1.94
	1.7	1.7
	1.85	1.92
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.64)	1.86 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

John Sperle
50.7%

Linus Lagerbohm
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that John Sperle's form might have worsened.

Linus Lagerbohm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linus Lagerbohm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for John Sperle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linus Lagerbohm than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Linus Lagerbohm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

John Sperle - Linus Lagerbohm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Sperle is ranked ATP: 821. Lagerbohm is ranked ATP: 973.

Recent form of Sperle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lagerbohm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lagerbohm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Andrey Chepelev - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	John Sperle - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	John Sperle - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Nico Hipfl - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Linus Lagerbohm
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Linus Lagerbohm - Daniel Salazar	1:2
06.08.26	Linus Lagerbohm - Jan Hrazdil	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Linus Lagerbohm - Mikolaj Migdalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Igor Marcondes - Linus Lagerbohm	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Linus Lagerbohm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

John Sperle - Linus Lagerbohm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide