Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	John Sperle		Amit Vales

	1	2
	1.28	3.25
	1.28	3.50
	1.37	3.07
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.28	3.35
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Sperle
72.2%

Amit Vales
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in John Sperle's performance.

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amit Vales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amit Vales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

John Sperle - Amit Vales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sperle is ranked ATP: 831. Vales is ranked ATP: 723.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sperle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sperle is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	John Sperle - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Nico Hipfl - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Adam Jilly - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Jeremy Schifris - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Jean Baptiste Badon - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kaylan Bigun - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Amit Vales - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Vit Kalina - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Marko Mesarovic - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

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