Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Jonas Forejtek		Dan Added

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.88	1.88
	1.73	2
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)	1.85 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
49.8%

Dan Added
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonas Forejtek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dan Added could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Jonas Forejtek - Dan Added Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Added will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Added: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forejtek is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Added is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forejtek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Jonas Forejtek - Jakub Nicod	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.23	Nuno Borges - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Steve Johnson - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.23	Jonas Forejtek - Isaiah Strode	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Matteo Martineau - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Dan Added - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Dan Added - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
27.02.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Dan Added	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Matteo Martineau - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

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