Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Jonas Forejtek		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.21
	2.97	1.36	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
51.1%

Miguel Damas
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonas Forejtek's form might have worsened.

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Damas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonas Forejtek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jonas Forejtek - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Damas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forejtek is ranked ATP: 464. Damas is ranked ATP: 344.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Forejtek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forejtek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jonas Forejtek - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.55%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Matyas Cerny - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Alejandro Moro Canas	Canceled ✺
03.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WL?LW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Ignacio Parisca - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miguel Damas - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Miguel Damas - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Miguel Damas - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Miguel Damas - Noah Lopez Cherubino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.08.23	Jonas Forejtek - Miguel Damas	1:2

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