Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ZADAR (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Jozef Kovalik		Evan Furness

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.63
	1.51	2.63
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.32)	2.58 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
63.6%

Evan Furness
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Evan Furness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evan Furness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Furness than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evan Furness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jozef Kovalik - Evan Furness Predictions

Users Predictions: Jozef Kovalik will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kovalik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Titouan Droguet - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Peter Fajta - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Jozef Kovalik - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Travaglia	Kovalik J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLW?
- Evan Furness
ATP Challenger
18.03.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Evan Furness	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Nikola Milojevic - Evan Furness	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Daniel Michalski - Evan Furness	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Evan Furness	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Evan Furness - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.04.22	Evan Furness - Jozef Kovalik	0:2
27.08.21	Evan Furness - Jozef Kovalik	0:2

Jozef Kovalik - Evan Furness: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide