Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA (PERU), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Juan Bautista Otegui		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.65	1.46
	2.68	1.49
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.85)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Bautista Otegui
35.8%

Gonzalo Lama
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Bautista Otegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Bautista Otegui than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Bautista Otegui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Lama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Bautista Otegui - Gonzalo Lama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lama will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Bautista Otegui
ATP Challenger
22.08.23	Juan Bautista Otegui - Matias Franco Descotte	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Felix Gill - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Juan Bautista Otegui - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Giovanni Oradini - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Giorgio Tabacco - Juan Bautista Otegui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW
- Gonzalo Lama
ATP Challenger
21.08.23	Jorge Brian Panta - Gonzalo Lama	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Gonzalo Lama - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Fernando Verdasco - Gonzalo Lama	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
01.08.23	Gonzalo Lama - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Gonzalo Lama - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW

Juan Bautista Otegui - Gonzalo Lama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide