Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.82	1.9
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.4)	2.13 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
55.6%

Alex Rybakov
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's form might have worsened.

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Rybakov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Prado Angelo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rybakov will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 296. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 469.

Recent matches Prado Angelo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rybakov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rybakov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Prado Angelo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - James Tracy	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	William Grant - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Johannus Monday - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Isaiah Strode - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Alex Rybakov - Jagger Leach	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Alex Rybakov - Ronald Hohmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

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