Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg (Germany), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bad Homburg (Germany) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 2
Germany	18:00	Eurosport 1
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4
United Kingdom	17:00	Sky Sports Main Event


	Jule Niemeier		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.43	1.52	Watch
	2.59	1.54
	2.6	1.55
	2.5	1.53
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.43	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.73)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jule Niemeier
38.1%

Paula Badosa
61.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jule Niemeier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jule Niemeier than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Jule Niemeier - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Niemeier will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Badosa will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Niemeier is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Badosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Badosa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Niemeier won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jule Niemeier
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.24	Diane Parry - Jule Niemeier	2:1 ✺
WTA Berlin
18.06.24	Donna Vekic - Jule Niemeier	2:1 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Robin Montgomery - Jule Niemeier	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Clara Tauson - Jule Niemeier	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.06.24	Jule Niemeier - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- Paula Badosa
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.24	Arantxa Rus - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
30.05.24	Paula Badosa - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
28.05.24	Katie Boulter - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Roma
13.05.24	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Paula Badosa - Harriet Dart	✺

Jule Niemeier - Paula Badosa