Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: SAN DIEGO (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday


	Jule Niemeier		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	2.1
	1.84	1.97	Watch
	1.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.55)	2.06 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jule Niemeier
53.7%

Varvara Gracheva
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jule Niemeier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jule Niemeier's performance.

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Gracheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jule Niemeier than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jule Niemeier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Jule Niemeier - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Niemeier will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niemeier: 68.6% – 95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Niemeier is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gracheva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niemeier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jule Niemeier
WTA San Diego
25.02.24	Claire Liu - Jule Niemeier	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Natalija Stevanovic - Jule Niemeier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Caty McNally - Jule Niemeier	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.02.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Jule Niemeier	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Jule Niemeier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Dubai
18.02.24	Varvara Gracheva - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.24	Varvara Gracheva - Lin Zhu	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
30.01.24	Jodie Anna Burrage - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.24	Varvara Gracheva - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Yanina Wickmayer - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Jule Niemeier - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide