Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Jules Marie		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	3.06	1.39
	3.06	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	3.03	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.52)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
31.4%

Alexander Ritschard
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Jules Marie - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ritschard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ritschard will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ritschard to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Australian Open
08.01.24	Benoit Paire - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.24	Arthur Cazaux - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.12.23	Jules Marie - Elgin Khoeblal	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Jules Marie - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
08.12.23	Jules Marie - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Australian Open
08.01.24	Alexander Ritschard - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Ritschard	Mensik J. walkover ✺
02.01.24	Alexander Ritschard - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
01.01.24	Jiri Vesely - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Daniel Rincon - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 W??WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Jules Marie - Alexander Ritschard	0:2

Jules Marie - Alexander Ritschard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide