Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Julia Grabher		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
	1.29	3.50	Watch
	1.25	3.70
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	3.62 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Grabher
74.2%

Deborah Chiesa
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Grabher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Grabher's performance.

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deborah Chiesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Grabher than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julia Grabher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deborah Chiesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julia Grabher - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grabher (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Grabher (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grabher (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grabher is ranked WTA: 99., and Chiesa is ranked WTA: 338..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Chiesa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Grabher is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Grabher has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Grabher
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Dalma Galfi - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Dalma Galfi - Julia Grabher	Canceled ✺
27.09.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Julia Grabher - Oksana Selekhmeteva	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 L?WWW
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lisa Zaar	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Deborah Chiesa - Marta Lombardini	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Deborah Chiesa - Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Julia Grabher	0:2

Julia Grabher - Deborah Chiesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide