Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Deborah Chiesa		Lucija Ciric Bagaric

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.94
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
49.9%

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciric Bagaric will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 333. Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 364.

Recent form of Chiesa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ciric Bagaric is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ciric Bagaric may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Ciric Bagaric will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chiesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Diana Martynov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Deborah Chiesa - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Deborah Chiesa - Anastasia Zolotareva	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Eva Bennemann - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Lucie Havlickova	Havlickova L. win ✺
08.09.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Gabriella Price	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Jule Niemeier - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Elena Milovanovic - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Deborah Chiesa	0:2

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