Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Solarino 3, hard

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Julia Stusek		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
	1.87	1.89
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.43)	1.86 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Stusek
50.1%

Deborah Chiesa
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Stusek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Stusek's performance.

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deborah Chiesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Stusek than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julia Stusek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deborah Chiesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julia Stusek - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiesa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stusek is ranked WTA: 770. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 629.

Stusek is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chiesa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stusek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chiesa could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Chiesa will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Stusek
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Maria Toma - Julia Stusek	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Barbara Dessolis - Julia Stusek	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Julia Stusek - Camilla Zanolini	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Julia Stusek - Meshkatolzahra Safi	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Julia Stusek - Carlotta Moccia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Vlada Mincheva	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Aurora Nosei	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Deborah Chiesa - Giulia Paterno	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alina Granwehr - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kseniia Ruchkina - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

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