Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday


	Julian Lenz		Andrew Paulson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.64	2.08
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julian Lenz
56%

Andrew Paulson
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julian Lenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Andrew Paulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julian Lenz than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julian Lenz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrew Paulson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julian Lenz - Andrew Paulson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lenz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paulson is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lenz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julian Lenz
ATP Challenger
18.09.22	Julian Lenz - Kai Wehnelt	1:2 ✺
07.09.22	Jurij Rodionov - Julian Lenz	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Julian Lenz	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Julian Lenz - Sebastian Prechtel	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Oleksii Krutykh - Julian Lenz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWW
- Andrew Paulson
ITF Tournaments
01.10.22	Daniel Siniakov - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Maxime Chazal - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Jakub Mensik - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
26.09.22	Jiri Barnat - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Hynek Barton - Andrew Paulson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL

Julian Lenz - Andrew Paulson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide