Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZEKESFEHERVAR (HUNGARY), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Julian Ocleppo		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.4	1.55
	2.55	1.53
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.14)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julian Ocleppo
38.7%

Daniel Michalski
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julian Ocleppo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julian Ocleppo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Julian Ocleppo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Julian Ocleppo - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ocleppo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Michalski will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michalski: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ocleppo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Michalski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ocleppo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michalski will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julian Ocleppo
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Sanjar Fayziev - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Julian Ocleppo - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Viktor Durasovic - Julian Ocleppo	Canceled ✺
08.02.23	Denis Yevseyev - Julian Ocleppo	2:0 ✺
06.02.23	Julian Ocleppo - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?LW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Daniel Michalski - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Daniel Michalski - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
16.02.23	Jason Kubler - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Yusuf Qaed - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

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