Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Manchester (United Kingdom), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday


	Julie Belgraver		Jia-Jing Lu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.68	2.15
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.64	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julie Belgraver
57.3%

Jia-Jing Lu
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julie Belgraver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julie Belgraver's performance.

Jia-Jing Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jia-Jing Lu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julie Belgraver than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julie Belgraver that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jia-Jing Lu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julie Belgraver - Jia Jing Lu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Belgraver is ranked WTA: 337. Lu is ranked WTA: 280.

Belgraver is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belgraver could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Julie Belgraver - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julie Belgraver
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Julie Belgraver - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Stacey Fung - Julie Belgraver	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Carson Branstine - Julie Belgraver	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Aya El Aouni - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWW
- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Mika Stojsavljevic	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Antonia Schmidt - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Paula Cembranos - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLW

Julie Belgraver - Jia-Jing Lu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide