Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Julien Penzlin		Francisco Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	3.20	1.28
	3.25	1.30
	3.4	1.31
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.34	1.28
	2.86	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.71)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julien Penzlin
29%

Francisco Rocha
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julien Penzlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Francisco Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julien Penzlin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Julien Penzlin - Francisco Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Penzlin is ranked ATP: 1219. Rocha is ranked ATP: 811.

Penzlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julien Penzlin
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Julien Penzlin - Pieter De Lange	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Julien Penzlin - Mac Visser	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vincent Dullinger - Julien Penzlin	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Julien Penzlin - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Giovanni Branchetti - Julien Penzlin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW
- Francisco Rocha
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Cacao	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Francisco Rocha - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Francisco Rocha - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

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