Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 9, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heraklion 9 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Julio Cesar Porras		Amit Vales

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.63	1.43
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.70	1.44
	2.63	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.56)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julio Cesar Porras
34.7%

Amit Vales
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julio Cesar Porras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Julio Cesar Porras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amit Vales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Julio Cesar Porras - Amit Vales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Porras is ranked ATP: 1037., and Vales is ranked ATP: 574..

Porras has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vales is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vales may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Vales is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Vales in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Amit Vales - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Alexander Vasilev - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Valentin Gonzalez-Galino	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Daniil Sarksian	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Odysseas Geladaris - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Luka Talan Lopatic - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Finn Murgett - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Amit Vales - Giulio Perego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Julio Cesar Porras - Amit Vales

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Julio Cesar Porras - Amit Vales Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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