Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Fano, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Justin Schlageter		Gabriele Crivellaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.62	2.16
	1.78	2.06
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	1.75	2.03
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	1.97 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Schlageter
53.4%

Gabriele Crivellaro
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Schlageter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justin Schlageter's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Crivellaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Crivellaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Schlageter than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justin Schlageter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Crivellaro than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Crivellaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Justin Schlageter - Gabriele Crivellaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schlageter is ranked ATP: 1070. Crivellaro is ranked ATP: 1359.

Schlageter has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crivellaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crivellaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Schlageter
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Justin Schlageter - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Justin Schlageter - Johan Oscar Lien	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Justin Schlageter	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Jonathan Mridha - Justin Schlageter	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Matteo Covato - Justin Schlageter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Gabriele Crivellaro
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Gabriele Crivellaro	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Oleg Prihodko - Gabriele Crivellaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWWLL

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