Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Boca Raton, FL 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele		Gergana Topalova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.8	1.38
	3.06	1.37
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
33.5%

Gergana Topalova
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele's form might have worsened.

Gergana Topalova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gergana Topalova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Gergana Topalova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gonzalez Daniele is ranked WTA: 613. Topalova is ranked WTA: 365.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gonzalez Daniele may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Topalova might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gonzalez Daniele won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Janae Preston	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Didi Bredberg Canizares - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Elizabeth Coleman - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Sarah Ye - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Capucine Jauffret	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
21.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Scarlett Fagan	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Kailey Evans	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Ellie Schoppe	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Daria Egorova	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Jaedan Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:1
16.01.26	Gergana Topalova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	2:1

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