Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Gregorio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Justina Mikulskyte		Vittoria Paganetti

	1	2
	1.85	1.85
	1.8	2.03
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.81	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justina Mikulskyte
51.2%

Vittoria Paganetti
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justina Mikulskyte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vittoria Paganetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justina Mikulskyte than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justina Mikulskyte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoria Paganetti than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vittoria Paganetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Justina Mikulskyte - Vittoria Paganetti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikulskyte is ranked WTA: 251. Paganetti is ranked WTA: 415.

In recent matches, Mikulskyte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paganetti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paganetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Justina Mikulskyte - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Vittoria Paganetti - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justina Mikulskyte
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Mona Barthel - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Gabriela Ce - Justina Mikulskyte	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Alina Granwehr	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Christina Bednarczyk	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Veronika Podrez - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Vittoria Paganetti
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Amy Sucha	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Vittoria Paganetti	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Valentina Ivanov - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Eva Bennemann - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

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