Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nevers, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Karl Friberg		Alexis Gautier

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.53	1.47	Watch
	2.54	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.38)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Friberg
36.4%

Alexis Gautier
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Friberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karl Friberg's performance.

Alexis Gautier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Gautier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Friberg than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karl Friberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Gautier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Karl Friberg - Alexis Gautier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Friberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gautier will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Friberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Friberg is ranked ATP: 1185. Gautier is ranked ATP: 606.

Friberg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gautier is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Friberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gautier might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gautier will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Friberg
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Neil Oberleitner - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Aleksander Chayka - Karl Friberg	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Karl Friberg - Mikalai Haliak	Haliak M. retired ✺
21.08.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Karl Friberg - Niklas Waldner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LW?LL
- Alexis Gautier
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Alexis Gautier - Martin Sabas	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Amaury Raynel - Alexis Gautier	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Maxence Beauge - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Axel Garcian - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Kristjan Tamm - Alexis Gautier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Karl Friberg - Alexis Gautier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide