Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Karl Poling		Joshua Sheehy

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.19	1.65
	2.18	1.59	Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
43%

Joshua Sheehy
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Joshua Sheehy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 651. Sheehy is ranked ATP: 611.

Poling has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sheehy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sheehy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poling won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Jack Kennedy - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Charlelie Cosnet - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Alexis Gurmendi - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Karl Poling - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Karl Poling - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Joshua Sheehy
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Joshua Sheehy - Bor Artnak	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Joshua Sheehy - Andrew Fenty	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Maxwell McKennon - Joshua Sheehy	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Joshua Sheehy - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Daniel Milavsky - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.23	Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy	2:1

Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide