The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karolina Pliskova 48.5%
Jessica Pegula 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.
Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.5%
0%
63.5%
Karolina Pliskova - Jessica Pegula Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 23 - 36.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 40 - 63.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 51.6% – 75.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Now both players are in good shape.
Pliskova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pliskova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-8.
Watch
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