Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Kasra Rahmani		Luca Potenza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.51
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasra Rahmani
61.3%

Luca Potenza
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasra Rahmani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasra Rahmani than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasra Rahmani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kasra Rahmani - Luca Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rahmani is ranked ATP: 799. Potenza is ranked ATP: 454.

Recent performances by Rahmani have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rahmani could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasra Rahmani
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Kasra Rahmani - Niccolo Ciavarella	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Kasra Rahmani - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Kasra Rahmani	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Kasra Rahmani - Jan Werblinski	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Kasra Rahmani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Potenza - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Nicolas Barrientos - Luca Potenza	Barrientos N. Retired ✺
27.04.26	Lorenzo Rocco - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Alex Martinez - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Liam Branger - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?WLL

Kasra Rahmani - Luca Potenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide