Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Gaiba (Italy), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Katarina Zavatska		Sara Errani

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.59	1.52
	2.59	1.52
	2.38	1.53
	2.53	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.7)	1.49 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarina Zavatska
37%

Sara Errani
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarina Zavatska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katarina Zavatska's form might have worsened.

Sara Errani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sara Errani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarina Zavatska than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katarina Zavatska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sara Errani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Katarina Zavatska - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Errani will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Zavatska is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Errani is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zavatska could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zavatska won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarina Zavatska
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Gergana Topalova - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Marina Bassols Ribera - Katarina Zavatska	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Renata Zarazua - Katarina Zavatska	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Katarina Zavatska - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW
- Sara Errani
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Natalija Stevanovic - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.24	Sara Errani - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
28.05.24	Sara Errani - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Sara Errani - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Sara Errani - Alice Tubello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guangzhou
13.09.19	Katarina Zavatska - Sara Errani	2:0

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