The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Katarzyna Kawa 52.7%
Laura Pigossi 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katarzyna Kawa's form might have worsened.
Laura Pigossi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Pigossi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katarzyna Kawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laura Pigossi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
0%
54.5%
Katarzyna Kawa - Laura Pigossi Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kawa will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pigossi will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pigossi: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Kawa is ranked WTA: 223.Pigossi is ranked WTA: 180.
Kawa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Pigossi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Pigossi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Kawa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).