Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Macon, GA (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Katarzyna Kawa		Lea Ma

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.75	1.37
	2.9	1.39
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.21)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarzyna Kawa
33.3%

Lea Ma
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katarzyna Kawa's form might have worsened.

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lea Ma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katarzyna Kawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lea Ma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Katarzyna Kawa - Lea Ma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kawa is ranked WTA: 265. Ma is ranked WTA: 404.

Recent matches Kawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ma will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ma to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarzyna Kawa
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Astra Sharma - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Viktoria Hruncakova	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Elvina Kalieva - Katarzyna Kawa	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL
- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Lea Ma - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Akasha Urhobo - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Ariana Arseneault - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Gabriella Vannessa Lindgren - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Lea Ma - Clara Vlasselaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

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