Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Katarzyna Kawa		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.75	2.12
	1.8	1.91
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.21)	2.08 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarzyna Kawa
54.8%

Zhuoxuan Bai
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarzyna Kawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katarzyna Kawa's performance.

Zhuoxuan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhuoxuan Bai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katarzyna Kawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhuoxuan Bai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Katarzyna Kawa - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kawa will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bai will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawa: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kawa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bai is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarzyna Kawa
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Olga Danilovic	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Vera Zvonareva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW
- Zhuoxuan Bai
ITF Tournaments
26.03.24	Zhuoxuan Bai - Manon Leonard	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.24	Erika Andreeva - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Mubaraka Al-Naimi - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
06.02.24	Zhuoxuan Bai - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Hua Hin
01.02.24	Arina Rodionova - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

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