Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Ceuta, hard - Final

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ceuta 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kate Mansfield		Maria Aran Teixido Garcia

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Kate Mansfield
38%

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
62%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kate Mansfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kate Mansfield than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Aran Teixido Garcia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Mansfield is ranked WTA: 1046. Teixido Garcia is ranked WTA: 878.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Teixido Garcia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Teixido Garcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kate Mansfield
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Lorena Solar Donoso - Kate Mansfield	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Valentina Losciale	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Ashleigh Simes	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Elizabeth Jurna	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Victoria Allen - Kate Mansfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Ariadna Garcia-Patron Canals - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Elena Giovanna Giessler - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maria Aran Teixido Garcia - Zoziya Kardava	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Maria Aran Teixido Garcia - Aurora Corvi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Kate Mansfield - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia