Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Heraklion 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Katharina Hobgarski		Rositsa Dencheva

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.92	1.82	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.87	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.24)	1.86 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katharina Hobgarski
50%

Rositsa Dencheva
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katharina Hobgarski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katharina Hobgarski's performance.

Rositsa Dencheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rositsa Dencheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katharina Hobgarski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rositsa Dencheva than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rositsa Dencheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katharina Hobgarski - Rositsa Dencheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 359. Dencheva is ranked WTA: 471.

Recent matches Hobgarski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dencheva in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hobgarski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dencheva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dencheva to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Jizel Matos Sequeira Fernandes	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Marcelina Podlinska	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Hiromi Abe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- Rositsa Dencheva
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Hibah Shaikh - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Alba Rey Garcia	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Marcelina Podlinska	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Samantha Alicea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

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