Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Katharina Hobgarski		Tena Lukas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.38
	1.70	2.00	Watch
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.37	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	2.43 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katharina Hobgarski
61.2%

Tena Lukas
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katharina Hobgarski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katharina Hobgarski's form might have worsened.

Tena Lukas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tena Lukas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katharina Hobgarski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tena Lukas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Katharina Hobgarski - Tena Lukas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lukas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 298. Lukas is ranked WTA: 433.

Hobgarski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lukas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hobgarski is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hobgarski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Nellie Taraba Wallberg	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Katarina Jokic - Katharina Hobgarski	Jokic K. walkover ✺
13.09.25	Sara Dols - Katharina Hobgarski	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WW?WW
- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Tena Lukas - Ranah Akua Stoiber	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Fiona Ganz - Tena Lukas	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lilli Tagger - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Tena Lukas - Krystyna Pochtovyk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Tena Lukas - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.02.22	Tena Lukas - Katharina Hobgarski	1:2

Katharina Hobgarski - Tena Lukas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide