Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 MONASTIR 8 (TUNISIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday


	Katharina Hobgarski		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.13	1.66
	1.96	1.7
	2	1.76
	1.83	1.83
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	1.98	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katharina Hobgarski
46.4%

Zhuoxuan Bai
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katharina Hobgarski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Katharina Hobgarski - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Users Predictions: Zhuoxuan Bai will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hobgarski in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hobgarski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
08.12.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
06.12.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Yanni Liu	2:0 ✺
19.11.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Lina Gjorcheska	Hobgarski K. retired ✺
18.11.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Dea Herdzelas	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?WW
- Zhuoxuan Bai
ITF Tournaments
08.12.22	Zhuoxuan Bai - Adithya Karunaratne	Bai Z. walkover ✺
06.12.22	Zhuoxuan Bai - Chiara Scholl	2:0 ✺
02.12.22	Milana Zhabrailova - Zhuoxuan Bai	Zhabrailova M. walkover ✺
01.12.22	Zhuoxuan Bai - Anouck Vrancken Peeters	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Madison Frahn - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?W?WW

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