Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Indian Harbour Beach, FL, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Katherine Sebov		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.68	2.11
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	2.16 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katherine Sebov
56.8%

Lia Karatancheva
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katherine Sebov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katherine Sebov's form might have worsened.

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lia Karatancheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katherine Sebov than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katherine Sebov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lia Karatancheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Katherine Sebov - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sebov is ranked WTA: 289. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 315.

In recent matches, Sebov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karatancheva has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Karatancheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sebov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katherine Sebov
ITF Tournaments
06.05.25	Katherine Sebov - Nagi Hanatani	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Lauren Davis - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Katherine Sebov - Iryna Shymanovich	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Jamie Loeb - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Katherine Sebov - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Maria Kononova	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Lia Karatancheva - Cadence Brace	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Amandine Monnot - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
11.04.25	Lia Karatancheva - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Katherine Sebov - Lia Karatancheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide